
Last week, news that CSRC (China Securities Regulatory Commission) has designed a series of initiatives to encourage farmers to invest in the stock market stirred up a fierce debate in China. (Currently, only urban residents are allowed to buy stocks in China.) The proposed policy met ferocious opposition from the public and experts alike. They see it as a ploy to cheat China’s 900 million farmers into putting their life savings into China’s notoriously volatile, ill-regulated and nontransparent stock market. In various online surveys, the majority of urban investors blankly said that China’s farmers lack basic financial and investment knowledge to discern which stocks to buy and whether they should invest in the first place. The concern is definitely legitimate and reflects the true condition of rural-urban disparity in China. But whether farmers should be allowed to buy stocks also has a human rights side to it. Most of China’s public policies treat farmers and city residents differently. But as the country tries to eliminate these differences and extend welfare to all, especially the farmers, shouldn’t the stock market follow the suit of health care and education?
But on the other hand, urban investors’ opposition is not unfounded. A closer look at China’s stock market and Chinese investors’ characteristics would suggest a more nuanced view. Andy Xie, former Morgan Stanley chief Asia-Pacific economist, now independent economist best known for his repeated warnings against China’s overheated economy is a good resource on the topic. He once described China’s economy as a “giant Ponzi scheme”. There is a lot of truth in his view. There are currently around 120 million registered individual investors in China. It is an extremely fragmented group that spans over all adult age groups and professions. The majority of these investors trade stocks on their own, not through a fund. Nor are they value investors. Most people buy and sell stocks so frequently that investing in the stock market is called “炒股票” in Chinese (literally meaning “stir fry stocks”, referring to the fast action.) Given the insufficiency in the market and weak corporate governance, China’s investors are extremely vulnerable to market volatility and their own speculative action. Many people base their investment decisions on “insider information”, which is usually fake. The same market, same investment culture and style applied to China’s farmers, it is scary to imagine the consequence. Thus, it’s a relief when China’s Securities and Regulatory Commission came out to announce that it has no plan to encourage farmers to trade stocks.




